How to Most Climate-Safe Place in the World

By | March 15, 2021

It is easy to be pessimistic about the future. It is also easy to scientifically verify that pessimism through persuasive papers and charts. It is still easy to lose yourself to fires and floods, lack of food and water, widespread human suffering, violent apocalypse defects, bad Wi-Fi and numbness (or depending on your mood / themes) from powerful drugs. And vision with thumping, autonomous noise music.

Last month, the United Nations put the world on “red alert” as leaders are not doing enough to overcome the climate crisis nor prepare for the inevitable effects if you need another reminder that bad things How can I get it? It is not for the world to say that it cannot arrest the climate tail, but to say that it is not. If you are sufficiently motivated (or rich), you can probably survive the dangerous hellscape, becoming the big swaths of the planet if humanity does not do its job. However, the question is, where to avoid? Twenty years from now, or 50, will there be a place to go? What is the most climate-protected place in the world? For this week’s Giz Asks, we reached out to several experts to find out.

In the US, these conditions are best found in the Great Lakes region, particularly on cold lakes with less prone to algae bloom, and the inland part of the Northeast. (Although weak storms in inland New England have caused some extreme flooding events in recent years.)

For a global perspective, I first look for places that are not too hot or moist in a hot world. Here, I draw my postdoc from a paper, Karin van der Viel, which leads the global mild weather change. This places the weather in high latitude regions with a changing climate with pleasant weather as the tropics become warmer and more humid. Additionally, there is a need for places where there is still regular rainfall (rain or snowfall) and to ensure access to freshwater in the future, which removes many subtropical locations. Therefore high latitude locations away from the coasts would be well situated like parts of Canada and Europe.

This assessment of a place as being “climate-safe” is based on access to resources and risk to society from socio-physical risks (such as damage caused by weather and climate extremes). Beyond freshwater and food security, with some basic habitable conditions when a person or animal is outside (a manageable number of days that are extreme heat or extreme cold), the built environment determines whether a place is a society. Is “climate-safe” for. . For hot days, people need air conditioning and access to water. For cold days, they need access to heat. For days of excessive rain, water management and building codes avoid flooding or excessive damage to structures. Planning for extreme weather and climate events other than the average climate is important to make it “climate-safe”. This requires combining known physical climate risks with infrastructure and technology to create a resilient world.

Not going anywhere. Now look at what’s happening – look at Texas. You have to stop the entire state from freezing their donkeys. Think about wildfire. Think about last year’s heatwave – entire sections of the country asked to stay indoors, because otherwise the weather could kill them. You have to be blind to think that it is going to be alright.

We have been ruining the planet for a long, long time. And it is only getting worse. What we are seeing right now is nothing. We have increased fuel emissions from 100 parts per million – from 300 to 400. We can go towards 800. Take everything you’ve seen and multiply it by three – what a bad job this is. A lot of the planet is going to be on fire, metaphorically and literally, because the wildfire is also triggered by carbon dioxide.

We have seen many billionaires buy the islands, thinking they are going to be safe. Because who’s going there, right? But the reality is that even those islands are not safe. How will they get clean water? How are they going to keep people living without water or electricity in stinky houses because they cannot shed their toilets?

So, for your question where might be the safest place to live? Probably Mars.

“Not going anywhere.”
Stephanie event
Assistant Professor, Geography and Environment, University of Richmond

This question comes at home because I actually ask all my Intro Earth System students a version of it in their final exams. I also pay attention to the question that there is no right answer, but there are probably a lot of wrong ones. In response to them, which is often US-centric, I am looking for them to consider a few things: generally, avoid coasts due to projections of sea level rise; Somewhere it is not very hot.

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